Forced migration and food crises

  1. Federico Carril-Caccia 1
  2. Jordi Paniagua 2
  3. Marta Suárez-Varela 3
  1. 1 Universidad de Granada, España
  2. 2 Universitat de València
    info

    Universitat de València

    Valencia, España

    ROR https://ror.org/043nxc105

  3. 3 Banco de España
    info

    Banco de España

    Madrid, España

    ROR https://ror.org/02f26yq04

Journal:
Documentos de trabajo - Banco de España

ISSN: 0213-2710

Year of publication: 2022

Issue: 27

Pages: 1-40

Type: Working paper

More publications in: Documentos de trabajo - Banco de España

Abstract

There is growing concern about the increase in food insecurity across the world, but little is known of its economic implications. This paper quantifies the effect of food crises on forced international migration (FIM) flows using a structural gravity model. To this end, we use a database that measures the severity, intensity and causes of food crises. The results suggest that even less severe food crises tend to increase FIM flows. More severe food crises tend to skew FIM flows towards developing countries. The results obtained appear to indicate that food crises tighten liquidity constraints on migration and that these constraints worsen as the food crisis intensifies.