Una aproximació intrasubjecte a la teoria prospectiva

  1. Bonavia Martin, Tomas
  2. González, Marta
Revista:
Anuari de psicologia de la Societat Valenciana de Psicologia

ISSN: 1135-1268

Ano de publicación: 2017

Título do exemplar: Homenatge a L. Kohlberg i D. Kahneman

Volume: 18

Número: 2

Páxinas: 253-267

Tipo: Artigo

Outras publicacións en: Anuari de psicologia de la Societat Valenciana de Psicologia

Resumo

In the present study, we have revisited the research carried out by Kahneman and Tversky (1979), which was the origin of their Prospec Theory. The importance of this theory comes from, on the one hand, the criticism about the expected utility theory and, on the other hand, the fact that it allowed the formulation of the certainty effect, the reflection effect and the frame effect. These authors generally used in their studies between-subject experimental designs. Our hypothesis was to test whether these effects remain the same even though we have conducted a within-subject analysis. For this purpose, we took a sample of 106 participants, to whom we asked a series of questions based on profits and losses problems. After repeating this study 5 times, the results showed that, as we had expected, the certainty effect, the reflection effect and the frame effect that Kahneman has identified were all still present, despite having used a within-subjectdesign.

Referencias bibliográficas

  • Barberis, N. C. (2013). Thirty years of prospect theory in economics: A review and assessment. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 27, pp. 173-96. <http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/jep.27.1.173>.
  • Budescu, D. i Weiss, W. (1987). Reflection of transitive and intransitive preferences: a test of prospect theory. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 39, pp. 184-202.
  • Charness, G.; Gneezy, O. i Kuhn, M. A. (2012). Experimental methods: Between-subject and within-subject design. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 81, pp. 1-8. <http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2011.08.009>.
  • Frank, R. H. (2009). Microeconomía y conducta. Madrid: McGraw-Hill.
  • García, J. F. (2008). Métodos de investigación, diseños y técnicas en las ciencias del comportamiento. València: Palmero.
  • Glöckner, A. i Pachur, T. (2012). Cognitive models of risky choice: Parameter stability and predictive accuracy of prospect theory. Cognition, 123, pp. 21-32. <http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cognition.2011.12.002>.
  • Hershey, J. i Schoemaker, P. (1980). Prospect theory’s reflection hypothesis: a critical examination. Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 25, pp. 395-418.
  • Irwin, L. (1987). How information frame influences risky decisions: Between subjects and within-subject comparisons. Journal of Economic Psychology, 8, pp. 43-54.
  • Kahneman, D. (2003). Maps of bounded rationality: Psychology for behavioral economics. The American Economic Review, 93, pp. 1449-1475. <http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/000282803322655392>.
  • Kahneman, D. (2012). Pensar rápido, pensar despacio. Barcelona: Debat. Kahneman, D. i Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: an analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47, pp. 263-292.
  • Keren, G. i Raaijmakers, J. (1988). On between-subjects versus within-subjects comparisons in testing utility theory. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 41, pp. 233-247. <http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0749-5978(88)90028-3>.
  • Levin, I. P.; Gaeth, G. J. i Schreiber, J. (2002). A new look at framing effects: Distribution of effect sizes, individual differences, and independence of types of effects. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 88, pp. 411-429. <http://dx.doi.org/10.1006/obhd.2001.2983>.
  • Levin, I. P.; Hart, S. S.; Weller, J. A. i Harshman, L. A. (2007). Stability of choices in a risky decision making ask: A 3-year longitudinal study with children and adults. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 20, pp. 241-252.
  • Levin, I. P.; Johnson, R. D. i Davis, M. L. (1987). How information frame influences risky decisions: Between-subjects and within subject comparisons. Journal of Economic Psychology, 8, pp. 43-54. <http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0167-4870(87)90005-5>.
  • Marqués, G. i Weisman, D. (2011). Teoría estándar de la decisión y Teoría Prospectiva: consideraciones filosóficas respecto al cambio teórico. Economía, 36, pp. 55-83.
  • Moreno, P. (2002). Premi Nobel d’Economia 2002: Vernon Smith i Daniel Kahneman. Recuperat el 6 de febrer de 2013 de <http://www.revistasice.com/ CachePDF/BICE_2749_25-35_6I2900A39EDBC0I1D892CB0F0041B3A5.pdf>.
  • Piñon, A. i Gambara, H. (2005). A meta-analytic review of framing effect: risky, attribute and goal framing. Psicothema, 17, pp. 325-331.
  • Rottenstreich, I. i Hsee, C. K. (2001). Money, kisses and electric shocs: on the affective psychology of risk. Psychological Science, 12, pp. 185-190. <http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1467-9280.00334>.
  • Tversky, A. i Kahneman, D. (1981). The framing of decisions and the psychology of choice. Science, 211, pp. 453-458. <http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.7455683>.
  • Tversky, A. i Kahneman, D. (1992). Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 5, pp. 297- 323. <http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/bf00122574>.
  • Wang, X. T. (2006). Emotions within reason: Resolving conflicts in risk preference. Cognition and Emotion, 20, 1132-1152. <http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02699930500387428>.