Sesgo de no-respuesta y modelos de superpoblación en encuestas electorales

Bibliographische Referenzen

• Aybar, C. (1998): Modelos de Superpoblación y Poblaciones Discretas Finitas, Tesis Doctoral, Valencia, Universitat de València.
• Bernardo, José M. (1997): «Probing Public Opinion: The State of Valencia Experience», en C. Gatsonis, J. S. Hodges, R.E. Kass, R. McCulloch, P. Rossi y N. D. Singpurwalla (eds.), Bayesian Case Studies 3, Nueva York: Springer-Verlag.
• Bernardo, José M. y F. Javier Girón (1992): «Robust Sequential Prediction from Non-random Samples: the Election Night Forecasting Case», en J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berge, A. P. Dawid y A. F. M. Smith (eds.), Bayesian Statistics 4, Oxford: Oxford University Press.
• Biemer, Paul, Ralph Folsom, Richard Kulka, Judith Lessler, Babu Shah y Michael Weeks (2003): «An Evaluation of Procedures and Operations Used by the Voter News Service for the 2000 Presidential Election», Public Opinion Quarterly, 67: 32-44.
• Curtin, Richard, Stanley Presser y Eleanor Singer (2005): «Changes in Telephone Survey Nonresponse over the Past Quarter Century», Public Opinion Quarterly, 69: 87-98.
• De Leeuw, Edith y Wim de Heer (2002): «Trends in Household Survey Nonresponse: A Longitudinal and International Comparison», en R. M. Groves, D. A. Dillman, J. L. Etinge y R. J. A. Little (eds.), Survey Nonresponse, Nueva York: Wiley.
• Galván, Marco y Fernando Medina (2007): Imputación de Datos: Teoría y Práctica, Santiago de Chile: United Nations Publications.
• Greene, William H. (2003): Econometric Analysis, New Jersey: Prentice Hall.
• Groves, Robert M. (1989): Survey Errors and Survey Costs, Nueva York: John Wiley & Sons.
• Groves, Robert M. (2006): «Nonresponse Rates and Nonresponse Bias in Household Surveys», Public Opinion Quarterly, 70: 646-675.
• Groves, Robert M., Don A. Dillman, John L. Eltinge y Roderick J. A. Little (2002): Survey Nonresponse, Nueva York: Wiley.
• Groves, Robert M., Eleanor Singer, Amy D. Corning y Ashley Bowers, (1999): «A Laboratory Approach to Measuring the Joint Effects of Interview Length, Incentives, Differential Incentives, and Refusal Conversion on Survey Participation», Journal of Official Statistics, 15: 251-268.
• Groves, Robert M. y Mick P. Couper (1998): Nonresponse in Household Interview Surveys, Nueva York: Wiley.
• Gschwend, Thomas, Ron Johnston y Charles Pattie (2003): «Split-Ticket Patterns in Mixed-Member Proportional Election Systems: Estimates and Analyses of their Spatial Variations at the German Federal Election, 1998», British Journal of Political Science, 33: 109-128.
• Isaki, Cary T., Julie H. Tsay y Wayne A. Fuller (2004): «Weighting Sample Data Subject to Independent Controls», Survey Methodology, 30: 35-44.
• Johnston, Ron y Charles Pattie (2000): «Ecological Inference and Entropy-Maximizing: An Alternative Estimation Procedure for Split-Ticket Voting», Political Analysis, 8: 333-345.
• Kalton, Graham y Daniel Kasprzyk (1986): «The Treatment of Missing Data», Survey Methodology, 12: 1-6.
• Keeter, Scoot, Carolyn Miller, Andrew Kohut, Robert M. Groves y Stanley Presser (2000): «Consequences of Reducing Nonresponse in a National Telephone Survey», Public Opinion Quarterly, 64: 125-48.
• King, Gary (1997): A Solution to the Ecological Inference Problem: Reconstructing Individual Beha vior from Aggregate Data, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
• King, Gary, James Honaker, Anne Joseph y Kenneth Scheve (2001): «Analyzing Incomplete Political Science Data: An Alternative Algorithm for Multiple Imputation », American Political Science Review, 95: 49-69.
• Konner, Joan (2003): «The Case for Caution. This System Is Dangerously Flawed», Public Opinion Quarterly, 67: 5-18.
• Martin, Elizabeth A., Michael W. Traugott y Courtney Kennedy (2005): «A Review and Proposal for a New Measure of Poll Accuracy», Public Opinion Quarterly, 69: 342-369.
• Merkle, Daniel M. y Murray Edelman (2002): «Nonresponse in Exit Polls: A Comprehensive Analysis», en R. M. Groves, D. A. Dillman, J. L. Etinge y R. J. A. Little (eds.), Survey Nonresponse, Nueva York: Wiley.
• Mitofsky, Warren J. (2003): «Voter News Service after the Fall», Public Opinion Quarterly, 67: 45-58.
• Mitofsky, Warren J. y Edelman Murray (2002): «Election Night Estimation », Journal of Official Statistics, 18: 165-179.
• Pavía, José M. (2010): «Improving Predictive Accuracy of Exit Polls», International Journal of Forecasting, 26: 68-81.
• Mitofsky, Warren J., Bernardi Cabrer y Ramón Sala (2009): «Updating Input-Output Matrices: Assessing Alternatives through Simulation», Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation, 79: 1467-1498.
• Mitofsky, Warren J., Beatriz Larraz y José María Montero (2008): «Election Forecasts Using Spatio-Temporal Models », Journal of the American Statistical Association, 103: 1050-1059.
• Mitofsky, Warren J. y Antonio López-Quilez (2012): «Spatial Vote Redistribution in Redrawn Polling Units», en evaluación.
• Pavía-Miralles, José Manuel (2005): «Forecasts from Non-Random Samples: The Election Night Case», Journal of the American Statistical Association, 100: 1113-1122.
• Mitofsky, Warren J. y Beatriz Larraz-Iribas (2008): «Quick Counts from Non-Selected Polling Stations», Journal of Applied Statistics, 35: 383-405.
• Randall, J. Jones, Jr. (2008): «The State of Presidential Election Forecasting: The 2004 Experience», International Journal of Forecasting, 24: 310-321.
• Rodríguez Osuna, Jacinto (1991): Métodos de Muestreo, Cuadernos Metodológicos del CIS, 1. Madrid: Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas.
• Rodríguez Osuna, Jacinto (2005): Métodos de Muestreo. Casos Prácticos, Cuadernos Metodológicos del CIS, 6. Madrid: Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas.
• Rosén, Bengt (1997a): «Asympotic Theory for Order Sampling», Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 62: 135-158.
• Rosén, Bengt (1997b): «On Sampling with Probability Proportional to Size», Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 62: 159-191.
• Särndal, Carl-Erik (2007): «The Calibration Approach in Survey Theory and Practice», Survey Methodology, 33: 99-119.
• Särndal, Carl-Erik y Sixten Lundström (2005): Estimation in Surveys with Nonresponse, Chichester: John Wiley & Sons.
• Särndal, Carl-Erik, Bengt Swenson y Jan Wretman (2003): Model Assisted Survey Sampling, Nueva York: Springer.
• Schafer, J. L. (1997): Analysis of Incomplete Multivariate Data, Boca Ratón, Florida: Chapman & Hall/ CRC.
• Singer, Eleanor (2006): «Introduction: Nonresponse Bias in Household Surveys», Public Opinion Quarterly, 70: 637-645.
• Smith, Tom W. (1999): «Developing Nonresponse Standards», International Conference on Survey Nonresponse, Portland, October, 1999. http:// cloud9.norc.uchicago.edu/dlib/nonre.htm.
• Valliant, Richard, Alan H. Dorfman y Richard M. Royall (2000): Finite Population Sampling and Inference. A Prediction Approach, Nueva York: John Wiley & Sons.