Impacto sobre la economía española de un desacoplamiento de la Unión Europea con China

  1. Juan de Lucio 1
  2. Raúl Mínguez 2
  3. Asier Minondo 3
  4. Francisco Requena 4
  1. 1 Universidad de Alcalá
    info
    Universidad de Alcalá

    Alcalá de Henares, España

    ROR https://ror.org/04pmn0e78

    Geografischer Standort der Organisation Universidad de Alcalá
  2. 2 Universidad Nebrija
    info
    Universidad Nebrija

    Madrid, España

    ROR https://ror.org/03tzyrt94

    Geografischer Standort der Organisation Universidad Nebrija
  3. 3 Universidad de Deusto
    info
    Universidad de Deusto

    Bilbao, España

    ROR https://ror.org/00ne6sr39

    Geografischer Standort der Organisation Universidad de Deusto
  4. 4 Universitat de València
    info
    Universitat de València

    Valencia, España

    ROR https://ror.org/043nxc105

    Geografischer Standort der Organisation Universitat de València
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Zeitschrift:
Cuadernos económicos de ICE

ISSN: 0210-2633,  2340-9037

Datum der Publikation: 2025

Nummer: 109

Seiten: 73-104

Art: Artikel

DIALNET GOOGLE SCHOLAR lock_openOpen Access editor HANDLE: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14454/3672

Andere Publikationen in: Cuadernos económicos de ICE

Zusammenfassung

This paper uses a quantitative general equilibrium model of international trade to assess the trade and welfare impact of a hypothetical trade decoupling between the European Union and China. A full decoupling would reduce Spain’s welfare level, measured in terms of per capita income in 2022, by –0.82%. Total exports would fall by –3.76%. A 20% total decoupling would reduce welfare by –0.40%. In the case of unilateral decoupling without retaliation, the EU would suffer more than China. Imposing barriers only on intermediate inputs would have a larger impact on trade and welfare than imposing barriers only on final goods.

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Fuente de los datos: Dialnet